UEFA Youth League round 5

Astana U19 vs Benfica U19 analysis

Astana U19 Benfica U19
5 ELO 51
3.9% Tilt 5.6%
33940º General ELO ranking 3186º
92º Country ELO ranking 46º
ELO win probability
7.5%
Astana U19
14.1%
Draw
78.4%
Benfica U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.5%
Win probability
Astana U19
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.6%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
78.4%
Win probability
Benfica U19
2.58
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.8%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Astana U19
Benfica U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Astana U19
Astana U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Nov. 2015
AST
Astana U19
0 - 9
Atlético U19
ATM
10%
15%
75%
8 25 17 0
21 Oct. 2015
ATM
Atlético U19
7 - 1
Astana U19
AST
84%
10%
5%
8 26 18 0
30 Sep. 2015
AST
Astana U19
0 - 3
Galatasaray U19
GAL
9%
14%
77%
9 42 33 -1
15 Sep. 2015
BEN
Benfica U19
8 - 0
Astana U19
AST
84%
13%
4%
9 49 40 0

Matches

Benfica U19
Benfica U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Nov. 2015
BEN
Benfica U19
2 - 0
Galatasaray U19
GAL
64%
20%
16%
50 39 11 0
21 Oct. 2015
GAL
Galatasaray U19
1 - 11
Benfica U19
BEN
36%
23%
41%
49 43 6 +1
30 Sep. 2015
ATM
Atlético U19
1 - 2
Benfica U19
BEN
16%
19%
64%
49 26 23 0
15 Sep. 2015
BEN
Benfica U19
8 - 0
Astana U19
AST
84%
13%
4%
49 9 40 0
17 Mar. 2015
BEN
Benfica U19
1 - 1
Shakhtar Donetsk U19
SHK
27%
22%
51%
48 54 6 +1