Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Comércio e Indústria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+110%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
4º
4º
10
8º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
19 | 52 |
1º
|
29% | |
|
1º
|
20 | 51 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 51 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
18 | 49 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 48 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 42 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 33 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 33 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 30 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
10 | 29 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 27 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 22 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 20 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 19 |
14º
|
38.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
28% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
71.5% | 50.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 49.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano Évora 1911
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
ALE
33%
27%
40%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ALE
4 - 0
EVN
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
FAB
1 - 1
ALE
31%
26%
43%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ALE
0 - 0
EST
5%
11%
84%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ALE
2 - 0
OPE
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Comércio e Indústria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CIN
0 - 1
SER
23%
24%
53%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MOU
1 - 2
CIN
38%
22%
41%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CIN
3 - 2
AMO
18%
19%
63%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | +5 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
LAG
3 - 2
CIN
53%
21%
27%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CIN
1 - 1
EST
76%
14%
10%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |