ASPTT Dijon vs Auxerre II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
68.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+188%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
3º
12º
12º
13
3º
13º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 62 |
1º
|
92.5% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 48 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
|
6º
|
13 | 44 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 40 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 39 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 38 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 36 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 35 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 33 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 33 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 31 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
|
10º
|
10 | 29 |
12º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 20 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 16 |
14º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
36% | 94% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
13% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation
|
51% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASPTT Dijon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
UST
1 - 2
ASP
57%
20%
23%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
YZE
0 - 1
ASP
67%
19%
14%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ASP
0 - 2
JUR
22%
21%
57%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 0
ASP
68%
17%
14%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ASP
0 - 4
CSL
16%
18%
65%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Auxerre II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
AUX
0 - 0
YZE
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
COL
1 - 0
AUX
50%
24%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
AUX
2 - 0
BOU
15%
23%
62%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FUR
2 - 0
AUX
57%
24%
20%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
AUX
5 - 0
OLY
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |