St. Valentin vs Stadl-Paura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.8%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
4.1%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
4º
11º
6º
0
16º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 55 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 54 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
99% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
87.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 41 |
9º
|
51.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 39 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 37 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 19 |
15º
|
98.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 98.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Valentin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
GRU
3 - 1
ASV
41%
23%
36%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ASV
2 - 0
SPG
56%
21%
23%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
WEL
1 - 2
ASV
58%
20%
22%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ASV
0 - 1
OST
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
UNP
1 - 1
ASV
27%
23%
50%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Stadl-Paura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
STA
0 - 5
10%
17%
73%
|
8 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
STA
0 - 2
FRI
10%
14%
76%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
GRU
10 - 0
STA
88%
9%
4%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
STA
0 - 1
SPG
12%
17%
71%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
WEL
7 - 0
STA
90%
7%
3%
|
9 | 28 | 19 | 0 |