Ashford United vs Three Bridges analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
58.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ashford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
ASH
3 - 1
HAR
21%
21%
58%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 1
ASH
70%
17%
13%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ASH
2 - 3
BRO
29%
24%
48%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LAN
4 - 2
ASH
66%
19%
16%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
HOR
2 - 1
ASH
67%
18%
15%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Three Bridges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
THR
3 - 1
SAL
87%
9%
4%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SAL
0 - 0
THR
9%
16%
76%
|
35 | 11 | 24 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
CHI
2 - 2
THR
9%
16%
75%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
CHA
5 - 0
THR
55%
22%
23%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
RAM
1 - 2
THR
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +1 |