Ashford United vs Hartley Wintney analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
15.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ashford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ASH
3 - 0
COR
63%
20%
17%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
DEA
0 - 1
ASH
39%
24%
37%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ASH
6 - 1
THR
20%
21%
59%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +4 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
ASH
3 - 1
HAR
21%
21%
58%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 1
ASH
70%
17%
13%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Hartley Wintney
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
HAR
2 - 1
EAS
41%
24%
35%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
HAR
0 - 2
LAR
20%
23%
57%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 1
BRA
5%
12%
83%
|
19 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
FAR
3 - 3
HAR
84%
12%
5%
|
18 | 50 | 32 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 0
AYL
23%
22%
56%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |