Vastogirardi vs Castelfidardo Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
45.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+99%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vastogirardi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
VAS
3 - 2
AAC
72%
17%
12%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
UST
3 - 2
VAS
53%
21%
27%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
VAS
2 - 2
REC
31%
24%
45%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
CYN
3 - 0
VAS
67%
17%
16%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2021 |
VAS
0 - 1
CAS
35%
23%
43%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
REC
4 - 1
CAS
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
SFF
0 - 3
CAS
45%
24%
30%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
CAS
4 - 0
OLY
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
PIN
1 - 2
CAS
53%
24%
23%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 0
GIU
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |