Team Nuova Florida vs Vigor Senigallia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
44.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
6º
14º
11º
68
2º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 47 |
7º
|
84.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
74.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
43% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 43 |
10º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
42 | 43 |
11º
|
46.5% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
89.5% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
13º
|
86.5% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
86.5% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 32 |
16º
|
31.5% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
39% | |
|
18º
|
28 | 29 |
18º
|
39% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Nuova Florida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
VAS
1 - 2
TNF
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
TNF
0 - 1
MAT
35%
24%
42%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
FAN
0 - 2
TNF
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
TER
2 - 0
TNF
43%
22%
34%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
TNF
1 - 0
ASD
39%
25%
36%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Vigor Senigallia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
VSU
1 - 1
SAN
72%
16%
12%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 0
VSU
25%
22%
53%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
VSU
3 - 1
CYN
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
VSU
2 - 1
MON
60%
21%
20%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
SSS
1 - 2
VSU
47%
26%
27%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |