Spezia vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
25.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
VNZ
0 - 0
SPE
34%
29%
37%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
SPE
2 - 1
ACD
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
SPE
0 - 1
CAR
39%
30%
31%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
PAL
2 - 0
SPE
58%
24%
17%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
SAS
2 - 0
SPE
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 0
CTT
40%
27%
34%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
ASC
1 - 2
NOV
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
NOV
0 - 1
PAR
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 0
NOV
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
FOL
1 - 0
NOV
10%
19%
72%
|
66 | 33 | 33 | 0 |