Spezia vs Feralpisalò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
13.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
SPE
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
USF
1 - 0
SPE
50%
24%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SPE
1 - 1
CAR
55%
26%
19%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
SPE
2 - 1
SPA
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
PER
1 - 2
SPE
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Feralpisalò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
FER
1 - 0
SSB
34%
28%
38%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
BV5
1 - 2
FER
55%
25%
20%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FER
2 - 1
LAT
46%
26%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
PIA
2 - 2
FER
76%
16%
8%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
FER
0 - 3
PER
30%
29%
42%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |