Spezia vs Brescello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
ACL
0 - 0
SPE
38%
27%
36%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
INT
1 - 0
SPE
100%
0%
0%
|
57 | 89 | 32 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1988 |
SSB
0 - 0
SPE
48%
24%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1988 |
SPE
1 - 2
SSS
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1988 |
SPE
1 - 3
BAR
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Brescello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
BRE
1 - 3
ASL
41%
27%
31%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
BRE
1 - 0
TRE
28%
27%
46%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2000 |
BRE
0 - 1
BRE
15%
23%
62%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2000 |
ALZ
1 - 1
BRE
47%
25%
29%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
LEC
2 - 2
BRE
38%
27%
34%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |