Spezia vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
20.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
SAS
1 - 0
SPE
32%
29%
39%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
NOV
2 - 4
SPE
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
SPE
0 - 0
PRO
57%
24%
18%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
PAV
0 - 3
SPE
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
SPE
1 - 0
CTT
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
ACP
1 - 2
REG
45%
26%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
PIS
1 - 4
ACP
53%
25%
22%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
ACP
1 - 1
PIS
36%
28%
36%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
CTT
0 - 1
ACP
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
ACP
0 - 0
CES
22%
27%
51%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |