Real Monterotondo Scalo vs Olbia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
30.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
8º
18º
10º
23
13º
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 66 |
1º
|
47.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 63 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 60 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 55 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 53 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 49 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 48 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 47 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 45 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 44 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 44 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 44 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 41 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 41 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 37 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 36 |
16º
|
21% | |
|
18º
|
18 | 32 |
17º
|
25.5% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 30 |
18º
|
41% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
4.5% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
67.5% | 38.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
25% | 51% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 9.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Monterotondo Scalo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
TRA
1 - 0
RMS
36%
25%
38%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
RMS
2 - 1
PAG
30%
25%
45%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
RMS
0 - 0
SSC
29%
27%
44%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
PUT
2 - 0
RMS
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ANZ
2 - 1
RMS
38%
25%
37%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Olbia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
OLB
3 - 2
ANZ
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
GMF
1 - 0
OLB
11%
16%
73%
|
42 | 13 | 29 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
OLB
3 - 2
ULD
38%
26%
36%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
ASI
4 - 2
OLB
31%
26%
43%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
GEL
3 - 2
OLB
61%
22%
17%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |