Monterosi Tuscia vs Muravera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
6.5%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterosi Tuscia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
MON
9%
15%
76%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
MON
1 - 1
ALB
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
NUO
0 - 0
MON
23%
24%
53%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MON
1 - 0
FLA
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
AVE
1 - 2
MON
22%
23%
56%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Muravera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 1
LAQ
12%
21%
68%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ULD
3 - 0
MUR
47%
23%
30%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 3
SPO
42%
23%
35%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
FOL
1 - 0
MUR
50%
23%
27%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
MUR
4 - 1
SAN
66%
19%
16%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |