Matese vs Castelnuovo Vomano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
28.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
FAN
0 - 1
MAT
47%
27%
27%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
MAT
1 - 0
ASD
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
VAS
1 - 1
MAT
30%
23%
48%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MAT
1 - 1
NER
84%
11%
5%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
MAT
1 - 3
VAS
59%
20%
21%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Castelnuovo Vomano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 1
AAC
89%
8%
3%
|
35 | 12 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 2
CAS
35%
23%
42%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
FAN
40%
26%
34%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
ASD
47%
22%
31%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
PIN
1 - 3
CAS
48%
24%
28%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +2 |