Città di Varese vs Vado FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
31.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Città di Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
GOZ
1 - 1
ASD
27%
29%
44%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ASD
0 - 0
VOG
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CCA
1 - 2
ASD
53%
25%
22%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ASD
1 - 1
PIN
63%
22%
15%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
DER
0 - 1
ASD
21%
25%
54%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Vado FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
ALC
1 - 1
VFC
70%
20%
11%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
VFC
4 - 0
BOR
83%
12%
5%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ASD
0 - 1
VFC
48%
28%
24%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
VFC
2 - 1
VOG
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
LAV
2 - 2
VFC
31%
29%
40%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |