Serie D Grupo A round 16

AS Bra vs Arconatese analysis

AS Bra Arconatese
31 ELO 27
-0.9% Tilt -10.3%
4770º General ELO ranking 5904º
131º Country ELO ranking 174º
ELO win probability
55.5%
AS Bra
21%
Draw
23.5%
Arconatese

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
AS Bra
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
23.5%
Win probability
Arconatese
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AS Bra
+4%
-64%
Arconatese

ELO progression

AS Bra
Arconatese
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AS Bra
AS Bra
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Dec. 2018
BUS
Bustese Milano City FC
3 - 2
AS Bra
ASD
30%
25%
46%
31 23 8 0
08 Dec. 2018
ASD
AS Bra
0 - 1
Stresa
STR
89%
8%
3%
31 14 17 0
02 Dec. 2018
SAN
Sanremese
0 - 0
AS Bra
ASD
71%
19%
11%
31 43 12 0
25 Nov. 2018
ASD
AS Bra
4 - 1
Pro Dronero
APD
75%
14%
11%
30 20 10 +1
18 Nov. 2018
BOR
Borgaro Nobis
0 - 1
AS Bra
ASD
20%
21%
59%
30 19 11 0

Matches

Arconatese
Arconatese
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Dec. 2018
ARC
Arconatese
1 - 1
Ligorna
LIG
44%
23%
33%
29 30 1 0
08 Dec. 2018
ARC
Arconatese
1 - 1
Bustese Milano City FC
BUS
66%
19%
15%
29 23 6 0
02 Dec. 2018
SES
Sestri Levante
2 - 0
Arconatese
ARC
32%
25%
43%
31 26 5 -2
28 Nov. 2018
BOR
Borgaro Nobis
1 - 0
Arconatese
ARC
17%
21%
62%
32 18 14 -1
25 Nov. 2018
ARC
Arconatese
1 - 1
Stresa
STR
86%
10%
4%
32 14 18 0