ASD Atletico Ascoli vs Roma City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
33.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
10º
9º
23
11º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 77 |
1º
|
95% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 64 |
2º
|
54% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 59 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 58 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 57 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 49 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 48 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 45 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 45 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 42 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 40 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 38 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 34 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 32 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
17º
|
20 | 32 |
17º
|
23% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 27 |
18º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
8.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
89.5% | 69% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1.5% | 19% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 12% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Atletico Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
BFM
1 - 0
ASD
42%
26%
33%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ASD
1 - 1
LAQ
34%
26%
40%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 2
ASD
35%
26%
38%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
REC
3 - 4
ASD
64%
19%
17%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ASD
0 - 1
FER
39%
26%
36%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Roma City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
RCF
1 - 1
LAQ
37%
26%
38%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SSS
2 - 1
RCF
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
RCF
3 - 2
REC
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
TER
1 - 0
RCF
36%
27%
38%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
RCF
1 - 0
CIV
63%
20%
17%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |