Ascona vs Taverne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
36.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
SAR
2 - 1
ASC
25%
23%
52%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
ASC
0 - 3
ESC
50%
24%
26%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
LOC
6 - 1
ASC
52%
23%
24%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
BRU
9 - 1
ASC
54%
22%
25%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
ASC
3 - 3
CAS
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Taverne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
TAV
2 - 1
NOV
52%
22%
26%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
IBA
3 - 1
TAV
49%
24%
27%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
TAV
1 - 1
HER
31%
23%
46%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
FCB
2 - 1
TAV
32%
22%
46%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
TAV
2 - 3
GOL
37%
23%
40%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |