Ascona vs Goldau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
27.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
LUZ
1 - 1
ASC
31%
24%
45%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
IBA
2 - 1
ASC
45%
24%
32%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ASC
3 - 1
GUN
70%
18%
13%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BUO
4 - 1
ASC
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ASC
1 - 2
ESC
55%
22%
24%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Goldau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
GOL
3 - 2
IBA
43%
24%
33%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
LUZ
2 - 0
GOL
28%
24%
48%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
GUN
2 - 3
GOL
34%
24%
43%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
GOL
0 - 3
BUO
35%
23%
42%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
ESC
3 - 0
GOL
38%
24%
38%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |