Serie B round 1

Ascoli vs Torino analysis

Ascoli Torino
65 ELO 70
10.1% Tilt -13.3%
946º General ELO ranking 66º
38º Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
48.4%
Ascoli
26.2%
Draw
25.4%
Torino

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
Ascoli
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
25.4%
Win probability
Torino
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ascoli
-22%
-1%
Torino

ELO progression

Ascoli
Torino
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ascoli
Ascoli
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 2011
CES
Cesena
1 - 0
Ascoli
ASC
58%
24%
19%
67 73 6 0
14 Aug. 2011
ASC
Ascoli
3 - 1
Taranto
TAR
66%
20%
14%
66 59 7 +1
29 May. 2011
ASC
Ascoli
3 - 0
Triestina
TRI
64%
21%
15%
65 59 6 +1
21 May. 2011
REG
Reggina
0 - 0
Ascoli
ASC
56%
26%
19%
65 70 5 0
13 May. 2011
ASC
Ascoli
3 - 2
Siena
SIE
31%
28%
41%
64 76 12 +1

Matches

Torino
Torino
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 2011
SIE
Siena
1 - 0
Torino
TOR
58%
23%
19%
70 76 6 0
13 Aug. 2011
TOR
Torino
1 - 0
Lumezzane
ACL
64%
21%
15%
70 57 13 0
29 May. 2011
TOR
Torino
0 - 2
Padova
PAD
53%
26%
21%
70 68 2 0
20 May. 2011
EMP
Empoli
1 - 1
Torino
TOR
48%
27%
25%
70 69 1 0
14 May. 2011
TOR
Torino
2 - 0
Triestina
TRI
65%
22%
13%
70 60 10 0