Ascoli vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
13.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
42.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.5%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
ASC
1 - 1
COM
49%
29%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
LAZ
3 - 1
ASC
70%
20%
10%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
ASC
2 - 0
VER
45%
31%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
CES
3 - 1
ASC
61%
25%
14%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1976 |
ASC
0 - 1
ACM
17%
27%
56%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
NAP
1 - 0
LAZ
62%
23%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
ACM
1 - 1
NAP
60%
24%
16%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
NAP
0 - 0
TOR
53%
26%
21%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
CAG
1 - 1
NAP
33%
30%
37%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1976 |
NAP
0 - 1
VER
72%
18%
10%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |