Ascoli vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
38.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
REG
1 - 2
ASC
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
ASC
1 - 1
PIA
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
ANC
1 - 2
ASC
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
ASC
1 - 0
TRI
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
CTT
2 - 0
ASC
46%
28%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
LEC
2 - 1
ABN
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
GRO
0 - 3
LEC
42%
25%
34%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
LEC
2 - 2
BRE
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
PAD
1 - 1
LEC
21%
24%
55%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
LEC
2 - 1
TOR
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |