Ascoli vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
10.3%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
SSS
0 - 0
ASC
35%
31%
34%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
ASC
3 - 0
BRE
63%
23%
14%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
PAL
1 - 1
ASC
36%
31%
33%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
ASC
5 - 2
USC
66%
23%
12%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
TER
1 - 0
ASC
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
COM
0 - 0
TAR
47%
31%
22%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
ASS
1 - 0
COM
62%
25%
14%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
COM
1 - 1
LEC
42%
30%
28%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
CAG
3 - 1
COM
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
COM
1 - 0
BRE
46%
30%
24%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |