Ascoli vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
9.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
EMP
1 - 1
ASC
38%
30%
32%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
USC
1 - 2
ASC
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1985 |
ASC
2 - 0
PES
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1985 |
TRI
1 - 1
ASC
43%
29%
28%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1985 |
ASC
3 - 3
ARZ
66%
22%
12%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
BOL
0 - 1
CAG
57%
26%
17%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
SSS
0 - 2
BOL
48%
32%
20%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1985 |
BOL
1 - 1
ARZ
56%
27%
18%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1985 |
BOL
2 - 1
CAM
54%
29%
18%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1985 |
TRI
0 - 0
BOL
57%
28%
15%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |