Ascoli vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
20.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
ACM
3 - 0
ASC
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
ASC
1 - 1
LAZ
43%
29%
29%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1979 |
ASC
1 - 0
FIO
42%
30%
29%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
PES
0 - 0
ASC
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
ASC
2 - 2
FCC
53%
27%
20%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
BOL
2 - 1
FIO
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
AVE
1 - 0
BOL
41%
32%
27%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1979 |
BOL
4 - 1
FCC
60%
24%
16%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
BOL
1 - 2
INT
35%
29%
37%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
ROM
1 - 2
BOL
60%
25%
15%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |