Asarum vs Prespa Birlik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
40.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Asarum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
KVA
4 - 1
ASA
52%
22%
26%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
ASA
1 - 1
LJU
56%
21%
22%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
ASA
1 - 1
HAS
43%
23%
34%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
LIN
3 - 1
ASA
44%
23%
33%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -2 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
ASA
0 - 3
VIM
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Prespa Birlik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
PRE
1 - 2
HOL
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
PRE
1 - 2
LIN
61%
19%
20%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
VIM
2 - 0
PRE
30%
24%
46%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
PRE
3 - 1
ROS
31%
24%
45%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +3 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
LIM
1 - 3
PRE
49%
22%
28%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |