Villers Houlgate CF vs Chantilly analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
43.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+98%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
2º
16º
16º
11
4º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
14 | 61 |
1º
|
46.5% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 56 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 51 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 50 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 49 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 49 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 45 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 38 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
11 | 37 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 36 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 36 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 35 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 31 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 30 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 30 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
4 | 25 |
16º
|
34% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
22.5% | 76% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10% | 7% |
|
Relegation
|
67.5% | 16.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villers Houlgate CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ESW
0 - 2
VHO
69%
18%
13%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LEH
2 - 1
VHO
32%
23%
45%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
VHO
3 - 2
DIE
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
LMU
0 - 1
VHO
38%
23%
40%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
VHO
1 - 1
FLE
53%
20%
26%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chantilly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
BIE
0 - 1
CHA
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
CHA
74%
16%
10%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LIL
2 - 2
CHA
47%
25%
28%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CHA
4 - 2
PDC
59%
19%
21%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
IRI
1 - 1
CHA
38%
24%
39%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |