Varese vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
22.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
MOD
1 - 0
VAR
51%
27%
22%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
VAR
0 - 1
SPE
50%
26%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
ARZ
1 - 0
VAR
32%
29%
39%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
VAR
1 - 0
COM
46%
28%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
REG
1 - 1
VAR
44%
29%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
SPA
1 - 2
COM
46%
28%
26%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
REG
2 - 2
SPA
48%
28%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
ACL
2 - 1
SPA
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
SPA
2 - 1
ARZ
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
SPA
2 - 2
USA
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |