Varese vs Borgaro Nobis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.6%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
14%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.5%
3.9%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 0
VAR
86%
11%
4%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
CHI
2 - 1
VAR
22%
24%
54%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
VIR
2 - 1
VAR
17%
23%
60%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 2
VAR
7%
17%
76%
|
51 | 19 | 32 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 0
SER
84%
11%
5%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Borgaro Nobis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
SER
1 - 1
BOR
63%
19%
18%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
BOR
1 - 2
CAS
71%
16%
13%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
BOR
2 - 1
BOR
71%
17%
12%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
BOR
0 - 3
CAR
16%
24%
60%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
PAV
4 - 0
BOR
79%
14%
7%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | 0 |