Varese vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
19.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.8%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
15.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
0
29.8%
18.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
PRG
0 - 1
VAR
33%
33%
34%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
VAR
2 - 0
COM
54%
29%
17%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
BAR
0 - 0
VAR
33%
32%
35%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1974 |
VAR
1 - 0
REG
61%
27%
13%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 1974 |
VAR
0 - 0
TAR
61%
26%
13%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
ATL
0 - 0
ARZ
58%
27%
14%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
ATL
1 - 0
TAR
59%
28%
14%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1974 |
ATL
2 - 4
ACM
17%
25%
59%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
NOV
1 - 0
ATL
49%
29%
21%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1974 |
ATL
0 - 1
COM
54%
30%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |