Varese vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
20.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
29%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
14.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
0
26.6%
12.8%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1974 |
VAR
0 - 0
TAR
61%
26%
13%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1974 |
CAT
0 - 0
VAR
40%
32%
28%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1974 |
VAR
2 - 0
NOV
57%
27%
16%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1974 |
VAR
2 - 1
PAR
63%
26%
11%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1974 |
ARZ
1 - 1
VAR
37%
31%
31%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1974 |
REG
1 - 1
ARZ
58%
25%
17%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1974 |
COM
1 - 0
REG
57%
28%
16%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1974 |
ASC
1 - 0
REG
67%
22%
11%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1974 |
REG
1 - 0
BAR
67%
23%
11%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1974 |
REG
1 - 0
ATL
45%
31%
23%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |