As Pontes vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
60.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
As Pontes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1998 |
GET
4 - 0
ASP
70%
19%
10%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1998 |
ASP
1 - 3
CPC
26%
27%
47%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1998 |
TAL
1 - 0
ASP
71%
19%
10%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1998 |
UPL
2 - 0
ASP
58%
24%
18%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1998 |
ASP
1 - 2
SPB
32%
28%
40%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1998 |
RMC
1 - 0
RCF
67%
21%
13%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1998 |
CAR
1 - 4
RMC
15%
23%
62%
|
60 | 33 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1998 |
RMC
2 - 0
LUG
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1998 |
RMC
2 - 0
FUE
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1998 |
PLA
1 - 2
RMC
22%
24%
54%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |