National 3 Centre-Val de Loire round 6

Montlouis vs USM Saran analysis

Montlouis USM Saran
24 ELO 26
-5.2% Tilt -5.4%
7413º General ELO ranking 10539º
172º Country ELO ranking 320º
ELO win probability
41.7%
Montlouis
22.6%
Draw
35.7%
USM Saran

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
Montlouis
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
35.7%
Win probability
USM Saran
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Montlouis
+98%
+49%
USM Saran

Points and table prediction

Montlouis
Their league position
USM Saran
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
14º
32
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Tours
59
59
0%
Avoine OCC
59
59
0%
FCO Tourangeau
56
56
100%
Châteauneuf-sur-Loire
42
42
100%
Montlouis
41
41
100%
Orléans II
36
36
100%
Bourges Foot 18 II
31
34
100%
Châteauroux II
32
32
0%
USM Saran
32
32
0%
Chambray FC
10º
26
26
10º
100%
Saint-Jean-Le-Blanc
11º
26
26
11º
100%
Drouais
12º
24
24
12º
100%
Chartres II
13º
20
20
13º
100%
Montargis
14º
18
18
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Montlouis
USM Saran
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Montlouis
USM Saran
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Montlouis
Montlouis
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Oct. 2022
BOU
Bourges Foot 18 II
2 - 1
Montlouis
MON
29%
22%
50%
24 19 5 0
15 Oct. 2022
MON
Montlouis
1 - 1
Châteauroux II
CHA
52%
21%
27%
24 23 1 0
02 Oct. 2022
CHA
Chambray FC
0 - 3
Montlouis
MON
40%
22%
38%
24 21 3 0
17 Sep. 2022
MON
Montlouis
1 - 2
Avoine OCC
AVO
37%
23%
40%
24 30 6 0
03 Sep. 2022
TOU
Tours
4 - 0
Montlouis
MON
88%
10%
3%
25 50 25 -1

Matches

USM Saran
USM Saran
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Oct. 2022
SAR
USM Saran
0 - 2
Châteauneuf-sur-Loire
CSL
55%
22%
23%
27 24 3 0
15 Oct. 2022
MON
Montargis
2 - 2
USM Saran
SAR
25%
22%
53%
27 20 7 0
02 Oct. 2022
CHA
Chartres II
1 - 3
USM Saran
SAR
38%
23%
39%
26 22 4 +1
18 Sep. 2022
SAR
USM Saran
1 - 1
Bourges Foot 18 II
BOU
70%
17%
13%
27 18 9 -1
04 Sep. 2022
CHA
Châteauroux II
0 - 3
USM Saran
SAR
43%
23%
34%
25 24 1 +2