Guereins vs Mâcon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.5%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
73.8%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mâcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
LIM
0 - 1
MAC
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SEY
2 - 0
MAC
14%
17%
69%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | -3 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MAC
0 - 1
CHA
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
MAC
2 - 0
SEN
68%
18%
14%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
HAL
1 - 2
MAC
19%
19%
62%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |