AS Figline vs San Donato Tavarnelle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
4º
16º
13º
21
11º
18º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 70 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 64 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 63 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 55 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 55 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 52 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 52 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 47 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 47 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 45 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
21 | 43 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 41 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
18 | 40 |
13º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 40 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 38 |
15º
|
11.5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 34 |
16º
|
16% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 34 |
17º
|
23.5% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 27 |
18º
|
67% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1.5% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
43.5% | 55.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
46% | 36% |
|
Relegation
|
9% | 4.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Figline
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MON
0 - 1
ASF
52%
22%
25%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
ASF
0 - 0
GRO
36%
25%
39%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
OST
4 - 3
ASF
32%
26%
43%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ASF
1 - 0
SPO
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FEZ
1 - 0
ASF
30%
25%
45%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
San Donato Tavarnelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SDT
1 - 1
FUL
70%
17%
13%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
ATT
0 - 0
SDT
47%
25%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SDT
1 - 0
ACS
35%
27%
38%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
USP
2 - 1
SDT
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SDT
0 - 0
LIV
16%
23%
61%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +2 |