SSC Bari vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
21.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1973 |
BRI
2 - 0
BAR
61%
24%
15%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
BAR
0 - 1
REG
62%
25%
13%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1973 |
AVE
1 - 0
BAR
64%
22%
15%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 1973 |
FCC
1 - 0
BAR
57%
28%
15%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1973 |
BAR
0 - 1
CAT
54%
29%
17%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1973 |
PRG
1 - 0
FCC
40%
33%
27%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
ARZ
4 - 1
PRG
41%
31%
28%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1973 |
PRG
1 - 1
BRE
44%
33%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1973 |
VAR
1 - 0
PRG
55%
28%
17%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1973 |
PRG
2 - 0
BRI
40%
30%
30%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |