SSC Bari vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
14.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1969 |
BAR
2 - 0
PAD
68%
21%
11%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
USF
4 - 0
BAR
53%
27%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
BAR
2 - 1
SPA
57%
26%
18%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
LEC
0 - 0
BAR
38%
31%
31%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
BAR
1 - 0
CES
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1969 |
PRG
2 - 0
BRE
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
MOD
0 - 0
PRG
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
PRG
1 - 1
LAZ
47%
28%
25%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
CES
2 - 1
PRG
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
PRG
2 - 0
TER
48%
26%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |