SSC Bari vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
40.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1945 |
BAR
2 - 1
NAP
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
PAL
0 - 2
BAR
49%
24%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 May. 1943 |
JUV
5 - 0
BAR
83%
10%
6%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
BAR
0 - 1
TOR
28%
25%
47%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1943 |
VNZ
0 - 0
BAR
67%
18%
16%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1945 |
FIO
5 - 0
ANC
86%
9%
5%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
PES
3 - 0
FIO
28%
22%
51%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1943 |
FIO
2 - 0
ATL
69%
16%
15%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
GEN
0 - 2
FIO
72%
15%
13%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1943 |
FIO
3 - 4
JUV
50%
22%
28%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |