SSC Bari vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
29.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1958 |
ACM
4 - 2
BAR
81%
12%
8%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1958 |
ROM
3 - 1
BAR
73%
16%
11%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
BAR
0 - 0
BOL
27%
26%
48%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
LEC
0 - 1
BAR
52%
20%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
BAR
5 - 1
USF
50%
21%
29%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
UDI
1 - 2
VAR
71%
15%
14%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
VAR
2 - 0
VIG
64%
17%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
VAR
4 - 2
UNI
67%
17%
17%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
SER
1 - 0
VAR
29%
22%
49%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1938 |
VAR
0 - 2
BIE
43%
23%
34%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |