Arzew vs USM Bel Abbès analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.6%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
39.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arzew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
CAB
1 - 0
ARZ
45%
28%
27%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ARZ
1 - 0
BEJ
36%
27%
37%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
CHL
1 - 0
ARZ
68%
21%
11%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
ARZ
0 - 1
USC
47%
26%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
BBA
1 - 1
ARZ
53%
25%
22%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
USM Bel Abbès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
USM
2 - 0
USM
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
BBA
3 - 1
USM
42%
30%
29%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
USM
1 - 0
AMA
53%
27%
20%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
EUL
0 - 1
USM
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
USM
1 - 0
FAK
58%
24%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |