Arzew vs USM Bel Abbès analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
34.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arzew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
MCS
2 - 0
ARZ
74%
18%
9%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
ARZ
1 - 1
BEN
44%
27%
30%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
ESM
2 - 0
ARZ
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
ARZ
0 - 1
ASM
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
USM
4 - 0
ARZ
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
USM Bel Abbès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
USM
3 - 2
SKI
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
CON
1 - 0
USM
40%
29%
31%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
SET
2 - 0
USM
36%
28%
35%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -2 |
| 16 Mar. 2010 |
USK
1 - 3
USM
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
USM
2 - 0
BEN
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |