Aryds vs Asarum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
75.8%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aryds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2020 |
ARY
4 - 4
LAI
48%
22%
30%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Asarum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
SYR
1 - 0
ASA
74%
16%
10%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
IFK
3 - 4
ASA
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
ASA
1 - 1
HFF
29%
22%
49%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2020 |
RAP
2 - 3
ASA
56%
21%
24%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Jun. 2020 |
ASA
0 - 1
DAL
49%
23%
28%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |