Arucas vs CD Santa Úrsula analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
UDL
2 - 5
ARU
50%
25%
25%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ARU
3 - 1
UNV
54%
23%
23%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
UDS
2 - 1
ARU
58%
23%
19%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ARU
2 - 0
COT
25%
24%
50%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
VSB
2 - 0
ARU
73%
18%
9%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
CD Santa Úrsula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
VER
2 - 2
CSU
58%
22%
20%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
CSU
0 - 0
CDB
30%
25%
45%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
TEL
3 - 2
CSU
50%
25%
26%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
CSU
2 - 2
SDT
23%
23%
54%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
EST
3 - 1
CSU
56%
23%
21%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |