Arucas U19 vs San Fernando U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
16.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
11º
11º
31
3º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arucas U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ACD
2 - 2
ARU
45%
24%
32%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ARU
3 - 1
SJO
66%
19%
15%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SOB
2 - 2
ARU
35%
24%
41%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ARU
1 - 0
CDM
76%
14%
9%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
PAS
1 - 1
ARU
21%
21%
58%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
San Fernando U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SFE
0 - 1
JUV
52%
22%
26%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ACD
1 - 0
SFE
48%
22%
30%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SFE
2 - 0
UNI
32%
22%
46%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SJO
4 - 1
SFE
32%
23%
46%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SFE
2 - 1
TNF
13%
18%
69%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | +2 |