Arua Hill vs UPDF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
25.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arua Hill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
SCV
3 - 1
AHS
48%
26%
26%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
AHS
1 - 1
KCC
56%
21%
23%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
MCF
1 - 0
AHS
37%
24%
39%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
AHS
0 - 1
GAD
63%
19%
18%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AHS
1 - 2
BUL
50%
25%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
UPDF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
UPD
2 - 0
BUL
28%
25%
48%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
JIN
0 - 2
UPD
44%
25%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
UPD
1 - 1
EXP
26%
25%
50%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
NEC
2 - 0
UPD
16%
19%
65%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
UPD
0 - 2
WAK
43%
26%
31%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |