Arua Hill vs Tooro United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
13.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arua Hill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
JIN
0 - 1
AHS
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
AHS
0 - 1
KCC
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
GAD
1 - 0
AHS
47%
24%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
AHS
3 - 2
URA
54%
24%
22%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
MCF
2 - 1
AHS
43%
26%
32%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Tooro United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
SOA
2 - 4
UPD
37%
23%
41%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
BRI
1 - 0
SOA
48%
25%
27%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
URA
6 - 1
SOA
53%
25%
22%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
WAK
3 - 0
SOA
63%
21%
17%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
SOA
1 - 3
JIN
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |