Carioca Série B1 Fase Regular round 1

Artsul FC vs Nova Cidade analysis

Artsul FC Nova Cidade
38 ELO 31
-15.5% Tilt -8.7%
6322º General ELO ranking 8680º
266º Country ELO ranking 364º
ELO win probability
48.2%
Artsul FC
22.9%
Draw
28.9%
Nova Cidade

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
Artsul FC
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
29%
Win probability
Nova Cidade
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Artsul FC
-15%
+47%
Nova Cidade

ELO progression

Artsul FC
Nova Cidade
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Artsul FC
Artsul FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Aug. 2024
AFC
Artsul FC
0 - 1
Serrano FC
SFC
38%
27%
36%
39 42 3 0
31 Jul. 2024
AFC
Artsul FC
0 - 0
Duque de Caxias
DUQ
29%
27%
45%
39 47 8 0
24 Jul. 2024
SFC
Serrano FC
1 - 1
Artsul FC
AFC
40%
26%
34%
39 42 3 0
20 Jul. 2024
AFC
Artsul FC
1 - 2
Cabofriense
CAB
40%
25%
35%
40 39 1 -1
13 Jul. 2024
PET
Petrópolis
0 - 0
Artsul FC
AFC
48%
25%
26%
40 46 6 0

Matches

Nova Cidade
Nova Cidade
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Nov. 2023
NCI
Nova Cidade
0 - 1
São Gonçalo RJ
SAO
30%
22%
48%
32 36 4 0
03 Nov. 2023
GOY
Goytacaz
2 - 1
Nova Cidade
NCI
45%
23%
32%
33 35 2 -1
28 Oct. 2023
NCI
Nova Cidade
1 - 1
Serra Macaense
SER
37%
23%
40%
33 33 0 0
25 Oct. 2023
MAC
Macaé Esporte
0 - 1
Nova Cidade
NCI
43%
23%
34%
32 33 1 +1
21 Oct. 2023
NCI
Nova Cidade
1 - 1
Friburguense
FRI
27%
22%
51%
31 39 8 +1