Arsenal vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
52.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2020 |
MKD
1 - 4
ARS
7%
16%
77%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
ARS
2 - 1
CHL
32%
23%
45%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
ARS
3 - 2
WAT
74%
17%
10%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2020 |
ASV
1 - 0
ARS
17%
21%
62%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
ARS
2 - 0
MAC
26%
23%
51%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2020 |
RBS
2 - 2
LIV
32%
24%
44%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
LIV
3 - 0
STU
88%
9%
3%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
NEW
1 - 3
LIV
9%
18%
73%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
LIV
5 - 3
CHL
56%
21%
23%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
ARS
2 - 1
LIV
24%
23%
53%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | -1 |