Premier League Jor. 4

Arsenal vs Leeds United analysis

Arsenal Leeds United
86 ELO 90
-7.5% Tilt -17.3%
General ELO ranking 131º
Country ELO ranking 19º
ELO win probability
43.4%
Arsenal
27.9%
Draw
28.6%
Leeds United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
Arsenal
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
28.7%
Win probability
Leeds United
1
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arsenal
+4%
-5%
Leeds United

ELO progression

Arsenal
Leeds United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arsenal
Arsenal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Aug. 1969
WBA
West Bromwich Albion
0 - 1
Arsenal
ARS
59%
22%
18%
86 84 2 0
13 Aug. 1969
LEE
Leeds United
0 - 0
Arsenal
ARS
65%
21%
14%
86 90 4 0
09 Aug. 1969
ARS
Arsenal
0 - 1
Everton
EVE
49%
26%
25%
86 88 2 0
29 Apr. 1969
EVE
Everton
1 - 0
Arsenal
ARS
57%
25%
19%
86 88 2 0
21 Apr. 1969
WHU
West Ham
1 - 2
Arsenal
ARS
55%
23%
22%
86 83 3 0

Matches

Leeds United
Leeds United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Aug. 1969
NTT
Nottingham Forest
1 - 4
Leeds United
LEE
29%
31%
41%
90 81 9 0
13 Aug. 1969
LEE
Leeds United
0 - 0
Arsenal
ARS
65%
21%
14%
90 86 4 0
09 Aug. 1969
LEE
Leeds United
3 - 1
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
64%
22%
14%
90 86 4 0
02 Aug. 1969
LEE
Leeds United
2 - 1
Manchester City
MAC
72%
16%
12%
90 86 4 0
30 Apr. 1969
LEE
Leeds United
1 - 0
Nottingham Forest
NTT
72%
18%
10%
90 81 9 0
X